45Alpha

McMinnville, TN metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · TN · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is McMinnville, TN metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
-1.330
Inventory Health25%
+16.464
Affordability20%
-13.925
Economic Strength20%
74
Rental Yield15%
-11.819

Where is McMinnville, TN metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

McMinnville, TN metro area is classified as Emerging early in its cycle, with scores climbing from a low base. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for McMinnville, TN metro area?

Our model forecasts McMinnville, TN metro area’s home prices to rise about 9.2% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

McMinnville, TN metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$294K-0.6%
Median Days on Market68 days▲ +4.6%
Months of Supply6.00%
Homes for Sale237-7.8%
Homes Sold41-6.8%
Median Price / Sq Ft$203▲ +3.3%

How has McMinnville, TN metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 45
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like McMinnville, TN metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is McMinnville, TN metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, McMinnville, TN metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in McMinnville, TN metro area?

The median sale price in McMinnville, TN metro area is $294K, having fallen 0.6% over the past year.

How affordable is McMinnville, TN metro area?

McMinnville, TN metro area scores 25 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving McMinnville, TN metro area's Alpha Score?

McMinnville, TN metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (74/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (19/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of McMinnville, TN metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.