Smith County, TX Housing Market Brief
county · TX · score computed October 2026
What is Smith County, TX’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Smith County, TX in its market cycle?
Smith County, TX is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Smith County, TX?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Smith County, TX housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $319K | ▼ -0.6% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 82 days | ▲ +17.1% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 5.4 | ▼ -14.3% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 1,460 | ▼ -2.5% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 269 | ▲ +13% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $171 | ▲ +2.2% | Redfin |
How has Smith County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Smith County, TX
Frequently asked questions
Is Smith County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Smith County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 43 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Smith County, TX?
The median sale price in Smith County, TX is $319K, having fallen 0.6% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Smith County, TX?
Smith County, TX scores 37 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Smith County, TX's Alpha Score?
Smith County, TX's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (62/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (30/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Smith County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.