Denton County, TX Housing Market Brief
county · TX · score computed October 2026
What is Denton County, TX’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Denton County, TX in its market cycle?
Denton County, TX is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Denton County, TX?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Denton County, TX housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $419K | ▼ -3.7% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 73 days | ▲ +12.3% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 5.2 | ▲ +6.1% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 5,700 | ▼ -1.6% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 1,102 | ▼ -7.5% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $192 | ▼ -3.5% | Redfin |
How has Denton County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Denton County, TX
Frequently asked questions
Is Denton County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Denton County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 46 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Denton County, TX?
The median sale price in Denton County, TX is $419K, having fallen 3.7% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Denton County, TX?
Denton County, TX scores 20 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Denton County, TX's Alpha Score?
Denton County, TX's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (90/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (11/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Denton County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.