Denton County, TX Housing Market Brief
county · TX · as of July 2026
What is Denton County, TX’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Denton County, TX in its market cycle?
Denton County, TX is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Denton County, TX?
Our model forecasts Denton County, TX’s home prices to hold flat over the next 12 months (high confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Denton County, TX housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $460K | ▲ +2.2% |
| Median Days on Market | 46 days | ▲ +7% |
| Months of Supply | 4.0 | ▼ -4.8% |
| Homes for Sale | 5,551 | ▼ -8.4% |
| Homes Sold | 1,391 | ▼ -4% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $201 | ▼ -1.5% |
How has Denton County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Denton County, TX
Frequently asked questions
Is Denton County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?
As of July 2026, Denton County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 53 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Denton County, TX?
The median sale price in Denton County, TX is $460K, having risen 2.2% over the past year.
How affordable is Denton County, TX?
Denton County, TX scores 49 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Denton County, TX's Alpha Score?
Denton County, TX's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (73/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (32/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Denton County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.