49Alpha

Waller County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Waller County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●56
Inventory Health25%
●85

Population band 4 of 5 (population 39,232–102,612) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●19
Economic Strength20%
●50
Rental Yield15%
●20

Where is Waller County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Waller County, TX is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Waller County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Waller County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$319K▲ +1.4%Redfin
Median Days on Market96 days▲ +20%Redfin
Months of Supply7.9▲ +79.6%Redfin
Homes for Sale996▲ +35.9%Redfin
Homes Sold127▼ -23.9%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$160▲ +1.9%Redfin

How has Waller County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 49
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Waller County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Waller County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Waller County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 49 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Waller County, TX?

The median sale price in Waller County, TX is $319K, having risen 1.4% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Waller County, TX?

Waller County, TX scores 19 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Waller County, TX's Alpha Score?

Waller County, TX's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (85/100) and its weakest is Affordability (19/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Waller County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.