Stafford County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Stafford County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Stafford County, VA in its market cycle?
Stafford County, VA is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Stafford County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Stafford County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $514K | ▼ -0.9% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 48 days | ▼ -5.9% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 4.0 | ▲ +29% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 570 | ▲ +17.5% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 141 | ▼ -9.6% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $210 | ▼ -3.8% | Redfin |
How has Stafford County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Stafford County, VA
Frequently asked questions
Is Stafford County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Stafford County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 48 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Stafford County, VA?
The median sale price in Stafford County, VA is $514K, having fallen 0.9% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Stafford County, VA?
Stafford County, VA scores 28 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Stafford County, VA's Alpha Score?
Stafford County, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (59/100) and its weakest is Affordability (28/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Stafford County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.