40Alpha

Thurston County, WA Housing Market Brief

county · WA · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Thurston County, WA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●35
Inventory Health25%
●68

Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●9
Economic Strength20%
●59
Rental Yield15%
●19

Where is Thurston County, WA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Thurston County, WA is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Thurston County, WA?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Thurston County, WA housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$529K▼ -1.9%Redfin
Median Days on Market37 days▲ +27.6%Redfin
Months of Supply3.8▲ +40.7%Redfin
Homes for Sale1,159▲ +34.6%Redfin
Homes Sold309▼ -4.3%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$292▼ -0.6%Redfin

How has Thurston County, WA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 40
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Thurston County, WA

Frequently asked questions

Is Thurston County, WA a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Thurston County, WA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 40 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Thurston County, WA?

The median sale price in Thurston County, WA is $529K, having fallen 1.9% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Thurston County, WA?

Thurston County, WA scores 9 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Thurston County, WA's Alpha Score?

Thurston County, WA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (68/100) and its weakest is Affordability (9/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Thurston County, WA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.