46Alpha

Jefferson County, MO Housing Market Brief

county · MO · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Jefferson County, MO’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●52
Inventory Health25%
●39

Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●53
Economic Strength20%
●54
Rental Yield15%
●34

Where is Jefferson County, MO in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Jefferson County, MO is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Jefferson County, MO?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Jefferson County, MO housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$309K▲ +4.7%Redfin
Median Days on Market31 days▲ +24%Redfin
Months of Supply1.90%Redfin
Homes for Sale458▲ +3.6%Redfin
Homes Sold244▲ +7%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$180▲ +4.4%Redfin

How has Jefferson County, MO’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 46
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Jefferson County, MO

Frequently asked questions

Is Jefferson County, MO a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Jefferson County, MO is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 46 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Jefferson County, MO?

The median sale price in Jefferson County, MO is $309K, having risen 4.7% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Jefferson County, MO?

Jefferson County, MO scores 53 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Jefferson County, MO's Alpha Score?

Jefferson County, MO's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (54/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (34/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Jefferson County, MO? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.