46Alpha

Fairfax City County, VA Housing Market Brief

county · VA · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Fairfax City County, VA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+4.361
Inventory Health25%
-10.757
Affordability20%
+8.821
Economic Strength20%
60
Rental Yield15%
-7.324

Where is Fairfax City County, VA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Fairfax City County, VA is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Fairfax City County, VA?

Our model forecasts Fairfax City County, VA’s home prices to rise about 1.6% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Fairfax City County, VA housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$717K-7.4%
Median Days on Market37 days-2.6%
Months of Supply2.1▲ +23.5%
Homes for Sale61▲ +8.9%
Homes Sold29-17.1%
Median Price / Sq Ft$338▲ +2.4%

How has Fairfax City County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 46
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Fairfax City County, VA

Frequently asked questions

Is Fairfax City County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Fairfax City County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 46 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Fairfax City County, VA?

The median sale price in Fairfax City County, VA is $717K, having fallen 7.4% over the past year.

How affordable is Fairfax City County, VA?

Fairfax City County, VA scores 21 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Fairfax City County, VA's Alpha Score?

Fairfax City County, VA's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (61/100) and its weakest is Affordability (21/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Fairfax City County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.