41Alpha

Falls Church, VA Housing Market Brief

county · VA · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Falls Church, VA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●93
Inventory Health25%
●43

Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●1
Economic Strength20%
●57
Rental Yield15%
●1

Where is Falls Church, VA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Falls Church, VA is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Falls Church, VA?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Falls Church, VA housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$1.1M▲ +20.3%Redfin
Median Days on Market29 days▼ -60.8%Redfin
Months of Supply2.2▼ -74.7%Redfin
Homes for Sale18▼ -30.8%Redfin
Homes Sold8▲ +166.7%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$514▼ -12.2%Redfin

How has Falls Church, VA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 41
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Falls Church, VA

Frequently asked questions

Is Falls Church, VA a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Falls Church, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 41 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Falls Church, VA?

The median sale price in Falls Church, VA is $1.1M, having risen 20.3% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Falls Church, VA?

Falls Church, VA scores 1 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Falls Church, VA's Alpha Score?

Falls Church, VA's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (93/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (1/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Falls Church, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.