Winchester, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed September 2026
What is Winchester, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 3 of 5 (population 20,431–39,126) · comparable within its band
Where is Winchester, VA in its market cycle?
Winchester, VA is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Winchester, VA?
Our model forecasts Winchester, VA’s home prices to rise about 7.5% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Winchester, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $374K | ▼ -4.1% |
| Median Days on Market | 62 days | ▲ +67.6% |
| Months of Supply | 3.5 | ▲ +84.2% |
| Homes for Sale | 88 | ▲ +29.4% |
| Homes Sold | 26 | ▼ -29.7% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $207 | ▼ -7.6% |
Markets like Winchester, VA
- Cumberland County, VA, VAcounty58
- Greene County, VA, VAcounty58
- King William County, VA, VAcounty59
- Rockingham County, VA, VAcounty57
- Smith County, TN, TNcounty56
- Louisa County, VA, VAcounty60
- Jasper County, SC, SCcounty64
- Fannin County, GA, GAcounty52
- Frederick County, VA, VAcounty55
- Cannon County, TN, TNcounty55
Frequently asked questions
Is Winchester, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed September 2026, Winchester, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 57 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Winchester, VA?
The median sale price in Winchester, VA is $374K, having fallen 4.1% over the past year.
How affordable is Winchester, VA?
Winchester, VA scores 6 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Winchester, VA's Alpha Score?
Winchester, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (98/100) and its weakest is Affordability (6/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Winchester, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.