46Alpha

Winchester, VA Housing Market Brief

county · VA · as of July 2026

Balanced

What is Winchester, VA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
47
Inventory Health25%
51
Affordability20%
21
Economic Strength20%
51
Rental Yield15%
61

Where is Winchester, VA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Winchester, VA is classified as Emerging early in its cycle, with scores climbing from a low base. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Winchester, VA?

Our model forecasts Winchester, VA’s home prices to rise about 7.1% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Winchester, VA housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$358K-3.4%
Median Days on Market46 days▲ +7%
Months of Supply3.9▲ +56%
Homes for Sale93▲ +6.9%
Homes Sold24-31.4%
Median Price / Sq Ft$229▲ +6.3%

How has Winchester, VA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 46
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Winchester, VA

Frequently asked questions

Is Winchester, VA a buyer's or seller's market?

As of July 2026, Winchester, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 46 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Winchester, VA?

The median sale price in Winchester, VA is $358K, having fallen 3.4% over the past year.

How affordable is Winchester, VA?

Winchester, VA scores 21 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Winchester, VA's Alpha Score?

Winchester, VA's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (61/100) and its weakest is Affordability (21/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Winchester, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.