Orange County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Orange County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 3 of 5 (population 20,431–39,126) · comparable within its band
Where is Orange County, VA in its market cycle?
Orange County, VA is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Orange County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Orange County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $379K | ▼ -4.2% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 76 days | ▲ +8.6% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 4.1 | ▲ +24.2% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 251 | ▼ -11% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 61 | ▼ -29.1% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $208 | ▼ -3.8% | Redfin |
How has Orange County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Orange County, VA
- Duchesne County, UT, UTcounty51
- Pierce County, WI, WIcounty48
- Waller County, TX, TXcounty49
- Douglas County, MN, MNcounty50
- Bourbon County, KY, KYcounty52
- Minidoka County, ID, IDcounty54
- Franklin County, TN, TNcounty53
- Maury County, TN, TNcounty49
- Shelby County, KY, KYcounty47
- Currituck County, NC, NCcounty48
Frequently asked questions
Is Orange County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Orange County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 51 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Orange County, VA?
The median sale price in Orange County, VA is $379K, having fallen 4.2% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Orange County, VA?
Orange County, VA scores 20 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Orange County, VA's Alpha Score?
Orange County, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (93/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (12/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Orange County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.