40Alpha

Burlington, VT metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · VT · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Burlington, VT metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●15
Inventory Health25%
●66

Population band 4 of 5 (population 112,714–277,881) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●22
Economic Strength20%
+3.359
Rental Yield15%
●29

Where is Burlington, VT metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Burlington, VT metro area is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Burlington, VT metro area?

Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Burlington, VT metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$456K▼ -8.8%Redfin
Median Days on Market65 days▲ +12.1%Realtor.com via FRED
Months of Supply3.9▲ +30%Redfin
Homes for Sale939▲ +31.2%Redfin
Homes Sold241▲ +1.3%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$287▲ +8.8%Redfin

How has Burlington, VT metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 40
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Burlington, VT metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Burlington, VT metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Burlington, VT metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 40 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Burlington, VT metro area?

The median sale price in Burlington, VT metro area is $456K, having fallen 8.8% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Burlington, VT metro area?

Burlington, VT metro area scores 22 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Burlington, VT metro area's Alpha Score?

Burlington, VT metro area's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (66/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (15/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Burlington, VT metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.