Caroline County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · as of July 2026
What is Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Caroline County, VA in its market cycle?
Caroline County, VA is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Caroline County, VA?
Our model forecasts Caroline County, VA’s home prices to decline about 6.7% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Caroline County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $442K | ▲ +19.5% |
| Median Days on Market | 41 days | ▼ -8.9% |
| Months of Supply | 4.7 | ▲ +80.8% |
| Homes for Sale | 164 | ▲ +16.3% |
| Homes Sold | 35 | ▼ -35.2% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $240 | ▲ +14.5% |
How has Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Caroline County, VA
Frequently asked questions
Is Caroline County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
As of July 2026, Caroline County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 42 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Caroline County, VA?
The median sale price in Caroline County, VA is $442K, having risen 19.5% over the past year.
How affordable is Caroline County, VA?
Caroline County, VA scores 28 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Caroline County, VA's Alpha Score?
Caroline County, VA's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (64/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (18/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Caroline County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.