54Alpha

Caroline County, VA Housing Market Brief

county · VA · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+4.268
Inventory Health25%
+12.351
Affordability20%
+16.843
Economic Strength20%
57
Rental Yield15%
+20.247

Where is Caroline County, VA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Caroline County, VA is classified as Declining cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Caroline County, VA?

Our model forecasts Caroline County, VA’s home prices to decline about 6.7% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Caroline County, VA housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$384K▲ +1%
Median Days on Market50 days▲ +6.4%
Months of Supply3.1▲ +40.9%
Homes for Sale171▲ +37.9%
Homes Sold58-1.7%
Median Price / Sq Ft$216-2.1%

How has Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 54
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Caroline County, VA

Frequently asked questions

Is Caroline County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Caroline County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 54 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Caroline County, VA?

The median sale price in Caroline County, VA is $384K, having risen 1% over the past year.

How affordable is Caroline County, VA?

Caroline County, VA scores 43 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Caroline County, VA's Alpha Score?

Caroline County, VA's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (68/100) and its weakest is Affordability (43/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Caroline County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.