45Alpha

Caroline County, VA Housing Market Brief

county · VA · as of May 2026

Balanced

What is Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
-1.064
Inventory Health25%
-6.840
Affordability20%
31
Economic Strength20%
-1.665
Rental Yield15%
22

Where is Caroline County, VA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Caroline County, VA is classified as Decliningcooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

Caroline County, VA housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$442K▲ +19.5%
Median Days on Market41 days-8.9%
Months of Supply4.7▲ +80.8%
Homes for Sale164▲ +16.3%
Homes Sold35-35.2%
Median Price / Sq Ft$240▲ +14.5%
Sale-to-List Ratio99.6%▲ +0.4%

How has Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 45
3-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Caroline County, VA

Frequently asked questions

Is Caroline County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?

As of May 2026, Caroline County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Caroline County, VA?

The median sale price in Caroline County, VA is $442K, having risen 19.5% over the past year.

How affordable is Caroline County, VA?

Caroline County, VA scores 31 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Caroline County, VA's Alpha Score?

Caroline County, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (65/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (22/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Caroline County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.