Caroline County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 3 of 5 (population 20,431–39,126) · comparable within its band
Where is Caroline County, VA in its market cycle?
Caroline County, VA is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Caroline County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Caroline County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $350K | ▼ -7.9% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 57 days | ▲ +29.6% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 5.9 | ▲ +126.9% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 184 | ▲ +42.6% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 31 | ▼ -38% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $232 | ▲ +2.3% | Redfin |
How has Caroline County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Caroline County, VA
- Lee County, NC, NCcounty63
- Louisa County, VA, VAcounty60
- Warren County, TN, TNcounty60
- Greene County, VA, VAcounty58
- King William County, VA, VAcounty59
- Warren County, MO, MOcounty60
- Smith County, TN, TNcounty56
- Isle of Wight County, VA, VAcounty56
- Hendry County, FL, FLcounty59
- Pickaway County, OH, OHcounty59
Frequently asked questions
Is Caroline County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Caroline County, VA is classified as a Seller's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 62 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Caroline County, VA?
The median sale price in Caroline County, VA is $350K, having fallen 7.9% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Caroline County, VA?
Caroline County, VA scores 28 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Caroline County, VA's Alpha Score?
Caroline County, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (95/100) and its weakest is Affordability (28/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Caroline County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.