Dakota County, MN Housing Market Brief
county · MN · score computed October 2026
What is Dakota County, MN’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Dakota County, MN in its market cycle?
Dakota County, MN is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Dakota County, MN?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Dakota County, MN housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $409K | ▲ +3.6% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 33 days | ▲ +13.8% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 3.0 | ▲ +30.4% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 1,498 | ▲ +24.1% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 500 | ▼ -3.7% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $190 | ▼ -0.5% | Redfin |
How has Dakota County, MN’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Dakota County, MN
Frequently asked questions
Is Dakota County, MN a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Dakota County, MN is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Dakota County, MN?
The median sale price in Dakota County, MN is $409K, having risen 3.6% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Dakota County, MN?
Dakota County, MN scores 27 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Dakota County, MN's Alpha Score?
Dakota County, MN's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (73/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (26/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Dakota County, MN? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.