53Alpha

Dakota County, MN Housing Market Brief

county · MN · as of July 2026

Balanced

What is Dakota County, MN’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
43
Inventory Health25%
46
Affordability20%
60
Economic Strength20%
57
Rental Yield15%
66

Where is Dakota County, MN in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Dakota County, MN is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Dakota County, MN?

Our model forecasts Dakota County, MN’s home prices to rise about 5.3% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Dakota County, MN housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$404K-0.1%
Median Days on Market22 days0%
Months of Supply2.00%
Homes for Sale1,127▲ +1.6%
Homes Sold554▲ +1.3%
Median Price / Sq Ft$195▲ +0.4%

How has Dakota County, MN’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 53
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Dakota County, MN

Frequently asked questions

Is Dakota County, MN a buyer's or seller's market?

As of July 2026, Dakota County, MN is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 53 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Dakota County, MN?

The median sale price in Dakota County, MN is $404K, having held roughly steady over the past year.

How affordable is Dakota County, MN?

Dakota County, MN scores 60 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Dakota County, MN's Alpha Score?

Dakota County, MN's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (66/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (43/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Dakota County, MN? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.