Frederick County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · as of August 2026
What is Frederick County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Frederick County, VA in its market cycle?
Frederick County, VA is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Frederick County, VA?
Our model forecasts Frederick County, VA’s home prices to rise about 4.2% over the next 12 months (high confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Frederick County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $439K | ▼ -2.5% |
| Median Days on Market | 54 days | ▲ +14.9% |
| Months of Supply | 3.2 | ▲ +23.1% |
| Homes for Sale | 483 | ▲ +23.5% |
| Homes Sold | 156 | ▲ +2% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $202 | ▼ -5.8% |
How has Frederick County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Frederick County, VA
- Forsyth County, NC, NCcounty46
- Rice County, MN, MNcounty47
- Hennepin County, MN, MNcounty51
- Baltimore County, MD, MDcounty50
- Salem County, NJ, NJcounty50
- Olmsted County, MN, MNcounty48
- Penobscot County, ME, MEcounty43
- Baldwin County, AL, ALcounty49
- Guilford County, NC, NCcounty43
- Montgomery County, TN, TNcounty48
Frequently asked questions
Is Frederick County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
As of August 2026, Frederick County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 46 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Frederick County, VA?
The median sale price in Frederick County, VA is $439K, having fallen 2.5% over the past year.
How affordable is Frederick County, VA?
Frederick County, VA scores 40 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Frederick County, VA's Alpha Score?
Frederick County, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (62/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (35/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Frederick County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.