Frederick County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Frederick County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 4 of 5 (population 39,232–102,612) · comparable within its band
Where is Frederick County, VA in its market cycle?
Frederick County, VA is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Frederick County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Frederick County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $419K | ▼ -6.3% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 58 days | ▲ +31.8% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 4.0 | ▲ +42.9% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 536 | ▲ +23.8% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 134 | ▼ -13.5% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $212 | ▼ -5% | Redfin |
How has Frederick County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Frederick County, VA
- Isle of Wight County, VA, VAcounty56
- Rockingham County, VA, VAcounty57
- Lee County, AL, ALcounty59
- Coffee County, TN, TNcounty51
- Rowan County, NC, NCcounty55
- Minidoka County, ID, IDcounty54
- Lumpkin County, GA, GAcounty52
- Iredell County, NC, NCcounty50
- Louisa County, VA, VAcounty60
- Botetourt County, VA, VAcounty59
Frequently asked questions
Is Frederick County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Frederick County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 55 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Frederick County, VA?
The median sale price in Frederick County, VA is $419K, having fallen 6.3% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Frederick County, VA?
Frederick County, VA scores 19 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Frederick County, VA's Alpha Score?
Frederick County, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (90/100) and its weakest is Affordability (19/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Frederick County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.