Modesto, CA metro area Housing Market Brief
metro · CA · as of August 2026
What is Modesto, CA metro area’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Modesto, CA metro area in its market cycle?
Modesto, CA metro area is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Modesto, CA metro area?
Our model forecasts Modesto, CA metro area’s home prices to rise about 2.7% over the next 12 months (high confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Modesto, CA metro area housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $489K | ▲ +4.1% |
| Median Days on Market | 42 days | ▼ -4.5% |
| Months of Supply | 2.7 | ▼ -20.6% |
| Homes for Sale | 850 | ▼ -19.3% |
| Homes Sold | 330 | ▲ +4.4% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $290 | ▼ -3.2% |
How has Modesto, CA metro area’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Modesto, CA metro area
- Merced, CA metro area, CAmetro41
- Yuba City, CA metro area, CAmetro37
- Barnstable Town, MA metro area, MAmetro36
- Las Cruces, NM metro area, NMmetro39
- Santa Rosa, CA metro area, CAmetro38
- Coeur d'Alene, ID metro area, IDmetro33
- Eugene, OR metro area, ORmetro34
- Santa Cruz, CA metro area, CAmetro34
- Sacramento, CA metro area, CAmetro36
- San Diego, CA metro area, CAmetro39
Frequently asked questions
Is Modesto, CA metro area a buyer's or seller's market?
As of August 2026, Modesto, CA metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 41 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Modesto, CA metro area?
The median sale price in Modesto, CA metro area is $489K, having risen 4.1% over the past year.
How affordable is Modesto, CA metro area?
Modesto, CA metro area scores 14 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.
What's driving Modesto, CA metro area's Alpha Score?
Modesto, CA metro area's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (58/100) and its weakest is Affordability (14/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Modesto, CA metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.