40Alpha

McAllen, TX metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · TX · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is McAllen, TX metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
-10.548
Inventory Health25%
-4.824
Affordability20%
+5.542
Economic Strength20%
54
Rental Yield15%
+2.936

Where is McAllen, TX metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

McAllen, TX metro area is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for McAllen, TX metro area?

Our model forecasts McAllen, TX metro area’s home prices to decline about 5.2% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

McAllen, TX metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$252K-1.1%
Median Days on Market81 days▲ +5.2%
Months of Supply9.4▲ +8.1%
Homes for Sale3,348▲ +3.6%
Homes Sold372-2.9%
Median Price / Sq Ft$148-0.6%

How has McAllen, TX metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 40
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like McAllen, TX metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is McAllen, TX metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, McAllen, TX metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 40 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in McAllen, TX metro area?

The median sale price in McAllen, TX metro area is $252K, having fallen 1.1% over the past year.

How affordable is McAllen, TX metro area?

McAllen, TX metro area scores 42 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving McAllen, TX metro area's Alpha Score?

McAllen, TX metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (54/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (24/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of McAllen, TX metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.