Nelson County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · as of July 2026
What is Nelson County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Nelson County, VA in its market cycle?
Nelson County, VA is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Nelson County, VA?
Our model forecasts Nelson County, VA’s home prices to decline about 1.1% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Nelson County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $443K | ▲ +4.6% |
| Median Days on Market | 15 days | ▼ -16.7% |
| Months of Supply | 5.2 | ▲ +36.8% |
| Homes for Sale | 103 | ▲ +12% |
| Homes Sold | 20 | ▼ -16.7% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $276 | ▲ +11.6% |
How has Nelson County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Nelson County, VA
Frequently asked questions
Is Nelson County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
As of July 2026, Nelson County, VA is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 36 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Nelson County, VA?
The median sale price in Nelson County, VA is $443K, having risen 4.6% over the past year.
How affordable is Nelson County, VA?
Nelson County, VA scores 11 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Nelson County, VA's Alpha Score?
Nelson County, VA's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (67/100) and its weakest is Affordability (11/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Nelson County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.