48Alpha

Jefferson County, AR Housing Market Brief

county · AR · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Jefferson County, AR’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●35
Inventory Health25%
●17

Population band 4 of 5 (population 39,232–102,612) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●82
Economic Strength20%
●32
Rental Yield15%
●95

Where is Jefferson County, AR in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Jefferson County, AR is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Jefferson County, AR?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Jefferson County, AR housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$145K▼ -3.1%Redfin
Median Days on Market105 days▲ +138.6%Redfin
Months of Supply5.7▲ +5.6%Redfin
Homes for Sale260▲ +10.2%Redfin
Homes Sold45▲ +2.3%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$73▼ -11.3%Redfin

How has Jefferson County, AR’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 48
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Jefferson County, AR

Frequently asked questions

Is Jefferson County, AR a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Jefferson County, AR is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 48 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Jefferson County, AR?

The median sale price in Jefferson County, AR is $145K, having fallen 3.1% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Jefferson County, AR?

Jefferson County, AR scores 82 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Jefferson County, AR's Alpha Score?

Jefferson County, AR's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (95/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (17/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Jefferson County, AR? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.