Erie County, NY Housing Market Brief
county · NY · score computed October 2026
What is Erie County, NY’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Erie County, NY in its market cycle?
Erie County, NY is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Erie County, NY?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Erie County, NY housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $314K | ▲ +5.3% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 12 days | 0% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 2.3 | ▲ +35.3% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 1,871 | ▲ +27.8% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 824 | ▼ -2.5% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $205 | ▲ +6.2% | Redfin |
How has Erie County, NY’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Erie County, NY
- Sussex County, NJ, NJcounty45
- Camden County, NJ, NJcounty48
- Berks County, PA, PAcounty47
- Jackson County, AL, ALcounty47
- Milwaukee County, WI, WIcounty40
- St. Clair County, MI, MIcounty42
- Rensselaer County, NY, NYcounty47
- Lackawanna County, PA, PAcounty45
- Albany County, NY, NYcounty44
- Athens County, OH, OHcounty49
Frequently asked questions
Is Erie County, NY a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Erie County, NY is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Erie County, NY?
The median sale price in Erie County, NY is $314K, having risen 5.3% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Erie County, NY?
Erie County, NY scores 39 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Erie County, NY's Alpha Score?
Erie County, NY's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (75/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (10/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Erie County, NY? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.