35Alpha

Pasco County, FL Housing Market Brief

county · FL · as of August 2026

Buyer's

What is Pasco County, FL’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
-0.729
Inventory Health25%
-11.739
Affordability20%
+3.028
Economic Strength20%
39
Rental Yield15%
+1.640

Where is Pasco County, FL in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Pasco County, FL is classified as Declining cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Pasco County, FL?

Our model forecasts Pasco County, FL’s home prices to hold flat over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Pasco County, FL housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$356K-0.2%
Median Days on Market52 days▲ +15.6%
Months of Supply5.0▲ +22%
Homes for Sale4,854▲ +7.7%
Homes Sold1,002-10.9%
Median Price / Sq Ft$194-1.4%

How has Pasco County, FL’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 35
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Pasco County, FL

Frequently asked questions

Is Pasco County, FL a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Pasco County, FL is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 35 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Pasco County, FL?

The median sale price in Pasco County, FL is $356K, having held roughly steady over the past year.

How affordable is Pasco County, FL?

Pasco County, FL scores 28 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Pasco County, FL's Alpha Score?

Pasco County, FL's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (40/100) and its weakest is Affordability (28/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Pasco County, FL? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.