45Alpha

Pasco County, FL Housing Market Brief

county · FL · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Pasco County, FL’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●7
Inventory Health25%
●96

Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●14
Economic Strength20%
●40
Rental Yield15%
●59

Where is Pasco County, FL in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Pasco County, FL is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Pasco County, FL?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Pasco County, FL housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$339K▼ -0.2%Redfin
Median Days on Market76 days▲ +31%Redfin
Months of Supply5.1▲ +13.3%Redfin
Homes for Sale4,817▲ +14.4%Redfin
Homes Sold949▲ +0.6%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$194▼ -2.6%Redfin

How has Pasco County, FL’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 45
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Pasco County, FL

Frequently asked questions

Is Pasco County, FL a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Pasco County, FL is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Pasco County, FL?

The median sale price in Pasco County, FL is $339K, having held roughly steady over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Pasco County, FL?

Pasco County, FL scores 14 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Pasco County, FL's Alpha Score?

Pasco County, FL's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (96/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (7/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Pasco County, FL? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.