51Alpha

Hardin County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Hardin County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+25.062
Inventory Health25%
59
Affordability20%
-26.639
Economic Strength20%
43
Rental Yield15%
-23.451

Where is Hardin County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Hardin County, TX is classified as Declining cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Hardin County, TX?

Our model forecasts Hardin County, TX’s home prices to rise about 3.3% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Hardin County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$343K▲ +45.8%
Median Days on Market55 days▲ +71.9%
Months of Supply3.3-25%
Homes for Sale185-20.3%
Homes Sold59▲ +7.3%
Median Price / Sq Ft$168▲ +25.5%

How has Hardin County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 51
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Hardin County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Hardin County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Hardin County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 51 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Hardin County, TX?

The median sale price in Hardin County, TX is $343K, having risen 45.8% over the past year.

How affordable is Hardin County, TX?

Hardin County, TX scores 39 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Hardin County, TX's Alpha Score?

Hardin County, TX's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (62/100) and its weakest is Affordability (39/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Hardin County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.