53Alpha

Hardin County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · as of July 2026

Balanced

What is Hardin County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
37
Inventory Health25%
59
Affordability20%
64
Economic Strength20%
42
Rental Yield15%
65

Where is Hardin County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Hardin County, TX is classified as Declining cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Hardin County, TX?

Our model forecasts Hardin County, TX’s home prices to rise about 3.0% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Hardin County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$270K▲ +3.9%
Median Days on Market49 days▲ +8.9%
Months of Supply3.3-17.5%
Homes for Sale175-20.8%
Homes Sold53-3.6%
Median Price / Sq Ft$166▲ +10.5%

How has Hardin County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 53
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Hardin County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Hardin County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

As of July 2026, Hardin County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 53 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Hardin County, TX?

The median sale price in Hardin County, TX is $270K, having risen 3.9% over the past year.

How affordable is Hardin County, TX?

Hardin County, TX scores 64 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Hardin County, TX's Alpha Score?

Hardin County, TX's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (65/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (37/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Hardin County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.