Jefferson County, MT Housing Market Brief
county · MT · score computed October 2026
What is Jefferson County, MT’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band
Where is Jefferson County, MT in its market cycle?
Jefferson County, MT is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Jefferson County, MT?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Jefferson County, MT housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $604K | ▲ +14.7% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 80 days | ▼ -9.1% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 9.5 | ▲ +106.5% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 107 | ▲ +35.4% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 11 | ▼ -35.3% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $289 | ▲ +8.4% | Redfin |
How has Jefferson County, MT’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Jefferson County, MT
Frequently asked questions
Is Jefferson County, MT a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Jefferson County, MT is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 43 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Jefferson County, MT?
The median sale price in Jefferson County, MT is $604K, having risen 14.7% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Jefferson County, MT?
Jefferson County, MT scores 11 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Jefferson County, MT's Alpha Score?
Jefferson County, MT's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (76/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (1/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Jefferson County, MT? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.