53Alpha

Hill County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Hill County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●44
Inventory Health25%
●39

Population band 3 of 5 (population 20,431–39,126) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●57
Economic Strength20%
●65
Rental Yield15%
●66

Where is Hill County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Hill County, TX is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Hill County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Hill County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$249K▼ -2.2%Redfin
Median Days on Market65 days▲ +4.8%Redfin
Months of Supply5.6▼ -32.5%Redfin
Homes for Sale247▼ -3.9%Redfin
Homes Sold44▲ +41.9%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$156▼ -3.8%Redfin

How has Hill County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 53
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Hill County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Hill County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Hill County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 53 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Hill County, TX?

The median sale price in Hill County, TX is $249K, having fallen 2.2% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Hill County, TX?

Hill County, TX scores 57 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Hill County, TX's Alpha Score?

Hill County, TX's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (66/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (39/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Hill County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.