50Alpha

Hill County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · as of July 2026

Balanced

What is Hill County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
47
Inventory Health25%
46
Affordability20%
46
Economic Strength20%
62
Rental Yield15%
49

Where is Hill County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Hill County, TX is classified as Emerging early in its cycle, with scores climbing from a low base. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Hill County, TX?

Our model forecasts Hill County, TX’s home prices to decline about 3.7% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Hill County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$275K▲ +13.6%
Median Days on Market53 days-23.2%
Months of Supply4.4-48.8%
Homes for Sale218-15.5%
Homes Sold49▲ +63.3%
Median Price / Sq Ft$170▲ +10.5%

How has Hill County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 50
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Hill County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Hill County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

As of July 2026, Hill County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 50 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Hill County, TX?

The median sale price in Hill County, TX is $275K, having risen 13.6% over the past year.

How affordable is Hill County, TX?

Hill County, TX scores 46 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Hill County, TX's Alpha Score?

Hill County, TX's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (62/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (46/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Hill County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.