39Alpha

Hillsborough County, FL Housing Market Brief

county · FL · score computed October 2026

Buyer's

What is Hillsborough County, FL’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●28
Inventory Health25%
●58

Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●11
Economic Strength20%
●52
Rental Yield15%
●44

Where is Hillsborough County, FL in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Hillsborough County, FL is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Hillsborough County, FL?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Hillsborough County, FL housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$394K▼ -1.2%Redfin
Median Days on Market68 days▲ +33.3%Redfin
Months of Supply5.3▲ +20.5%Redfin
Homes for Sale7,705▲ +13.5%Redfin
Homes Sold1,454▼ -6.4%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$224▲ +0.9%Redfin

How has Hillsborough County, FL’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 39
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Hillsborough County, FL

Frequently asked questions

Is Hillsborough County, FL a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Hillsborough County, FL is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 39 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Hillsborough County, FL?

The median sale price in Hillsborough County, FL is $394K, having fallen 1.2% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Hillsborough County, FL?

Hillsborough County, FL scores 11 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Hillsborough County, FL's Alpha Score?

Hillsborough County, FL's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (58/100) and its weakest is Affordability (11/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Hillsborough County, FL? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.