Jefferson County, TN Housing Market Brief
county · TN · score computed October 2026
What is Jefferson County, TN’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 4 of 5 (population 39,232–102,612) · comparable within its band
Where is Jefferson County, TN in its market cycle?
Jefferson County, TN is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Jefferson County, TN?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Jefferson County, TN housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $349K | ▲ +2% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 57 days | ▼ -16.2% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 5.7 | ▲ +46.2% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 333 | ▲ +7.1% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 59 | ▼ -26.2% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $217 | ▲ +6.2% | Redfin |
How has Jefferson County, TN’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Jefferson County, TN
- Caldwell County, NC, NCcounty48
- Davidson County, NC, NCcounty52
- Madison County, KY, KYcounty49
- Warren County, KY, KYcounty49
- Hickman County, TN, TNcounty49
- Waller County, TX, TXcounty49
- Grand Traverse County, MI, MIcounty48
- Bradley County, TN, TNcounty44
- Shelby County, KY, KYcounty47
- Montgomery County, VA, VAcounty47
Frequently asked questions
Is Jefferson County, TN a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Jefferson County, TN is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 51 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Jefferson County, TN?
The median sale price in Jefferson County, TN is $349K, having risen 2% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Jefferson County, TN?
Jefferson County, TN scores 30 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Jefferson County, TN's Alpha Score?
Jefferson County, TN's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (80/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (28/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Jefferson County, TN? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.