45Alpha

Jefferson County, OR Housing Market Brief

county · OR · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Jefferson County, OR’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●59
Inventory Health25%
●88

Population band 3 of 5 (population 20,431–39,126) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●9
Economic Strength20%
●46
Rental Yield15%
●3

Where is Jefferson County, OR in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Jefferson County, OR is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Jefferson County, OR?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Jefferson County, OR housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$374K▲ +2.8%Redfin
Median Days on Market75 days▲ +8.7%Redfin
Months of Supply7.6▼ -13.6%Redfin
Homes for Sale149▲ +21.1%Redfin
Homes Sold20▲ +42.9%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$279▲ +5.7%Redfin

How has Jefferson County, OR’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 45
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Jefferson County, OR

Frequently asked questions

Is Jefferson County, OR a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Jefferson County, OR is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Jefferson County, OR?

The median sale price in Jefferson County, OR is $374K, having risen 2.8% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Jefferson County, OR?

Jefferson County, OR scores 9 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Jefferson County, OR's Alpha Score?

Jefferson County, OR's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (88/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (3/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Jefferson County, OR? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.