Orange County, NC Housing Market Brief
county · NC · score computed October 2026
What is Orange County, NC’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Orange County, NC in its market cycle?
Orange County, NC is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Orange County, NC?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Orange County, NC housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $487K | ▼ -2.6% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 55 days | ▲ +1.9% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 4.5 | ▲ +12.5% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 565 | ▲ +38.1% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 124 | ▲ +20.4% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $259 | ▲ +2.7% | Redfin |
How has Orange County, NC’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Orange County, NC
Frequently asked questions
Is Orange County, NC a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Orange County, NC is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 44 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Orange County, NC?
The median sale price in Orange County, NC is $487K, having fallen 2.6% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Orange County, NC?
Orange County, NC scores 8 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Orange County, NC's Alpha Score?
Orange County, NC's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (77/100) and its weakest is Affordability (8/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Orange County, NC? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.