Arlington County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Arlington County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Arlington County, VA in its market cycle?
Arlington County, VA is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Arlington County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Arlington County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $703K | ▲ +0.5% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 51 days | ▲ +8.5% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 3.8 | ▲ +31% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 665 | ▲ +18.5% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 176 | ▼ -7.8% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $478 | ▲ +2.3% | Redfin |
How has Arlington County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Arlington County, VA
- Alexandria, VA, VAcounty36
- Placer County, CA, CAcounty38
- Missoula County, MT, MTcounty39
- Douglas County, CO, COcounty38
- Benton County, OR, ORcounty40
- Salt Lake County, UT, UTcounty41
- Larimer County, CO, COcounty36
- Twin Falls County, ID, IDcounty40
- Yellowstone County, MT, MTcounty39
- Carroll County, NH, NHcounty43
Frequently asked questions
Is Arlington County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Arlington County, VA is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 38 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Arlington County, VA?
The median sale price in Arlington County, VA is $703K, having held roughly steady over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Arlington County, VA?
Arlington County, VA scores 3 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Arlington County, VA's Alpha Score?
Arlington County, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (75/100) and its weakest is Affordability (3/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Arlington County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.