Arlington County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · as of August 2026
What is Arlington County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Arlington County, VA in its market cycle?
Arlington County, VA is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Arlington County, VA?
Our model forecasts Arlington County, VA’s home prices to rise about 1.3% over the next 12 months (high confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Arlington County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $825K | ▲ +10% |
| Median Days on Market | 39 days | ▲ +11.4% |
| Months of Supply | 2.6 | ▲ +13% |
| Homes for Sale | 584 | ▲ +10% |
| Homes Sold | 228 | ▼ -5.8% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $517 | ▲ +10.2% |
How has Arlington County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Arlington County, VA
Frequently asked questions
Is Arlington County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
As of August 2026, Arlington County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 41 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Arlington County, VA?
The median sale price in Arlington County, VA is $825K, having risen 10% over the past year.
How affordable is Arlington County, VA?
Arlington County, VA scores 16 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Arlington County, VA's Alpha Score?
Arlington County, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (64/100) and its weakest is Affordability (16/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Arlington County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.