40Alpha

Arlington County, VA Housing Market Brief

county · VA · as of May 2026

Balanced

What is Arlington County, VA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+1.054
Inventory Health25%
+4.854
Affordability20%
3
Economic Strength20%
-2.667
Rental Yield15%
16

Where is Arlington County, VA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Arlington County, VA is classified as Decliningcooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

Arlington County, VA housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$820K▲ +2.6%
Median Days on Market29 days▲ +3.6%
Months of Supply2.1-12.5%
Homes for Sale543-3%
Homes Sold257▲ +11.7%
Median Price / Sq Ft$4960%
Sale-to-List Ratio100.8%▲ +0.8%

How has Arlington County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 40
3-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Arlington County, VA

Frequently asked questions

Is Arlington County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?

As of May 2026, Arlington County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 40 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Arlington County, VA?

The median sale price in Arlington County, VA is $820K, having risen 2.6% over the past year.

How affordable is Arlington County, VA?

Arlington County, VA scores 3 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Arlington County, VA's Alpha Score?

Arlington County, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (67/100) and its weakest is Affordability (3/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Arlington County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.