32Alpha

Dawson County, MT Housing Market Brief

county · MT · score computed October 2026

Buyer's

What is Dawson County, MT’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●10
Inventory Health25%
●0

Population band 1 of 5 (population 475–9,803) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●66
Economic Strength20%
●53
Rental Yield15%
●42

Where is Dawson County, MT in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Dawson County, MT is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Dawson County, MT?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Dawson County, MT housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$572K▲ +124.4%Redfin
Median Days on Market526 days▲ +453.7%Redfin
Months of Supply1.0▼ -75.6%Redfin
Homes for Sale2▼ -33.3%Redfin
Homes Sold2▲ +100%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$118▲ +34%Redfin

How has Dawson County, MT’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 32
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Dawson County, MT

Frequently asked questions

Is Dawson County, MT a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Dawson County, MT is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 32 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Dawson County, MT?

The median sale price in Dawson County, MT is $572K, having risen 124.4% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Dawson County, MT?

Dawson County, MT scores 66 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Dawson County, MT's Alpha Score?

Dawson County, MT's strongest dimension is Affordability (66/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (0/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Dawson County, MT? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.