54Alpha

Johnson County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Johnson County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●15
Inventory Health25%
●96

Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●33
Economic Strength20%
●61
Rental Yield15%
●56

Where is Johnson County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Johnson County, TX is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Johnson County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Johnson County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$314K▼ -3.6%Redfin
Median Days on Market73 days▼ -13.1%Redfin
Months of Supply5.1▼ -1.9%Redfin
Homes for Sale1,114▼ -13.2%Redfin
Homes Sold220▼ -11.3%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$168▼ -4.4%Redfin

How has Johnson County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 54
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Johnson County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Johnson County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Johnson County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 54 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Johnson County, TX?

The median sale price in Johnson County, TX is $314K, having fallen 3.6% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Johnson County, TX?

Johnson County, TX scores 33 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Johnson County, TX's Alpha Score?

Johnson County, TX's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (96/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (15/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Johnson County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.