50Alpha

Dawson County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Dawson County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●7
Inventory Health25%
●13

Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●91
Economic Strength20%
●65
Rental Yield15%
●93

Where is Dawson County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Dawson County, TX is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Dawson County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Dawson County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$114K▼ -55.1%Redfin
Median Days on Market57 days▼ -8.1%Redfin
Months of Supply7.5▼ -65.9%Redfin
Homes for Sale31▲ +40.9%Redfin
Homes Sold4▲ +300%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$79▼ -16.2%Redfin

How has Dawson County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 50
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Dawson County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Dawson County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Dawson County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 50 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Dawson County, TX?

The median sale price in Dawson County, TX is $114K, having fallen 55.1% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Dawson County, TX?

Dawson County, TX scores 91 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Dawson County, TX's Alpha Score?

Dawson County, TX's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (93/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (7/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Dawson County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.