48Alpha

Durham County, NC Housing Market Brief

county · NC · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Durham County, NC’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●25
Inventory Health25%
●97

Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●10
Economic Strength20%
●64
Rental Yield15%
●26

Where is Durham County, NC in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Durham County, NC is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Durham County, NC?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Durham County, NC housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$419K▼ -5.8%Redfin
Median Days on Market53 days▲ +23.3%Redfin
Months of Supply4.4▲ +12.8%Redfin
Homes for Sale1,543▲ +18.2%Redfin
Homes Sold349▲ +3.6%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$210▼ -7.5%Redfin

How has Durham County, NC’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 48
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Durham County, NC

Frequently asked questions

Is Durham County, NC a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Durham County, NC is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 48 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Durham County, NC?

The median sale price in Durham County, NC is $419K, having fallen 5.8% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Durham County, NC?

Durham County, NC scores 10 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Durham County, NC's Alpha Score?

Durham County, NC's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (97/100) and its weakest is Affordability (10/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Durham County, NC? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.