44Alpha

Hays County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Hays County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+3.930
Inventory Health25%
-0.644
Affordability20%
+1.049
Economic Strength20%
60
Rental Yield15%
+0.735

Where is Hays County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Hays County, TX is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Hays County, TX?

Our model forecasts Hays County, TX’s home prices to rise about 4.1% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Hays County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$374K▲ +2.4%
Median Days on Market82 days▲ +7.9%
Months of Supply6.4▲ +8.5%
Homes for Sale2,240-1.7%
Homes Sold359-9.6%
Median Price / Sq Ft$186-6.6%

How has Hays County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 44
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hays County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Hays County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 44 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Hays County, TX?

The median sale price in Hays County, TX is $374K, having risen 2.4% over the past year.

How affordable is Hays County, TX?

Hays County, TX scores 49 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Hays County, TX's Alpha Score?

Hays County, TX's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (60/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (30/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Hays County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.