77Alpha

Ward County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Hot Seller's

What is Ward County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●96
Inventory Health25%
●50

Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●80
Economic Strength20%
●80
Rental Yield15%
●93

Where is Ward County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Ward County, TX is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Ward County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Ward County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$65K—Redfin
Median Days on Market39 days—Redfin
Months of Supply39.2—Redfin
Homes for Sale40▼ -9.1%Redfin
Homes Sold1—Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$169—Redfin

How has Ward County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 77
2-period trend

Markets like Ward County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Ward County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Ward County, TX is classified as a Hot Seller's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 77 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Ward County, TX?

The median sale price in Ward County, TX is $65K, having held roughly steady over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Ward County, TX?

Ward County, TX scores 80 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Ward County, TX's Alpha Score?

Ward County, TX's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (96/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (50/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Ward County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.