James City County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is James City County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 4 of 5 (population 39,232–102,612) · comparable within its band
Where is James City County, VA in its market cycle?
James City County, VA is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for James City County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
James City County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $449K | ▼ -15.9% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 39 days | ▼ -7.1% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 2.9 | ▲ +7.4% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 399 | ▲ +22.8% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 137 | ▲ +13.2% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $223 | ▲ +3.6% | Redfin |
How has James City County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like James City County, VA
Frequently asked questions
Is James City County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, James City County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 42 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in James City County, VA?
The median sale price in James City County, VA is $449K, having fallen 15.9% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is James City County, VA?
James City County, VA scores 17 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving James City County, VA's Alpha Score?
James City County, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (68/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (15/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of James City County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.