42Alpha

Hill County, MT Housing Market Brief

county · MT · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Hill County, MT’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●84
Inventory Health25%
●14

Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●21
Economic Strength20%
●68
Rental Yield15%
●24

Where is Hill County, MT in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Hill County, MT is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Hill County, MT?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Hill County, MT housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$120K▼ -53.8%Redfin
Median Days on Market89 days▲ +140.5%Redfin
Months of Supply16.2▼ -6.4%Redfin
Homes for Sale50▼ -3.8%Redfin
Homes Sold30%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$147▲ +8.6%Redfin

How has Hill County, MT’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 42
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Hill County, MT

Frequently asked questions

Is Hill County, MT a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Hill County, MT is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 42 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Hill County, MT?

The median sale price in Hill County, MT is $120K, having fallen 53.8% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Hill County, MT?

Hill County, MT scores 21 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Hill County, MT's Alpha Score?

Hill County, MT's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (84/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (14/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Hill County, MT? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.