Prince William County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Prince William County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Prince William County, VA in its market cycle?
Prince William County, VA is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Prince William County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Prince William County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $579K | ▼ -4% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 44 days | ▲ +7.3% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 3.0 | ▲ +11.1% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 1,199 | ▲ +10.4% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 403 | ▼ -0.5% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $248 | ▲ +0.6% | Redfin |
How has Prince William County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Prince William County, VA
- Monroe County, IN, INcounty39
- Ulster County, NY, NYcounty40
- Hennepin County, MN, MNcounty34
- New Castle County, DE, DEcounty35
- Cascade County, MT, MTcounty39
- Hanover County, VA, VAcounty43
- Stearns County, MN, MNcounty36
- Windham County, VT, VTcounty33
- Washington County, TN, TNcounty43
- Kern County, CA, CAcounty35
Frequently asked questions
Is Prince William County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Prince William County, VA is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 38 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Prince William County, VA?
The median sale price in Prince William County, VA is $579K, having fallen 4% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Prince William County, VA?
Prince William County, VA scores 18 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Prince William County, VA's Alpha Score?
Prince William County, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (55/100) and its weakest is Affordability (18/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Prince William County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.