Fairfax County, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Fairfax County, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Fairfax County, VA in its market cycle?
Fairfax County, VA is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Fairfax County, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Fairfax County, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $748K | ▲ +4.6% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 40 days | ▲ +5.3% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 2.9 | ▲ +31.8% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 2,662 | ▲ +20.6% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 932 | ▼ -6.4% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $350 | ▼ -0.7% | Redfin |
How has Fairfax County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Fairfax County, VA
- Broomfield County, CO, COcounty30
- Island County, WA, WAcounty29
- Monroe County, FL, FLcounty30
- Los Angeles County, CA, CAcounty31
- Montgomery County, MD, MDcounty28
- Kitsap County, WA, WAcounty35
- Grays Harbor County, WA, WAcounty36
- Santa Barbara County, CA, CAcounty34
- Fresno County, CA, CAcounty31
- Polk County, OR, ORcounty28
Frequently asked questions
Is Fairfax County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Fairfax County, VA is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 33 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Fairfax County, VA?
The median sale price in Fairfax County, VA is $748K, having risen 4.6% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Fairfax County, VA?
Fairfax County, VA scores 10 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Fairfax County, VA's Alpha Score?
Fairfax County, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (60/100) and its weakest is Rental Yield (9/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Fairfax County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.