45Alpha

Fairfax County, VA Housing Market Brief

county · VA · as of July 2026

Balanced

What is Fairfax County, VA’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
58
Inventory Health25%
48
Affordability20%
23
Economic Strength20%
60
Rental Yield15%
32

Where is Fairfax County, VA in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Fairfax County, VA is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Fairfax County, VA?

Our model forecasts Fairfax County, VA’s home prices to rise about 1.3% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Fairfax County, VA housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$815K▲ +3.8%
Median Days on Market25 days-3.8%
Months of Supply1.7-5.6%
Homes for Sale2,4830%
Homes Sold1,457▲ +6.5%
Median Price / Sq Ft$363▲ +2.8%

How has Fairfax County, VA’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 45
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Fairfax County, VA

Frequently asked questions

Is Fairfax County, VA a buyer's or seller's market?

As of July 2026, Fairfax County, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Fairfax County, VA?

The median sale price in Fairfax County, VA is $815K, having risen 3.8% over the past year.

How affordable is Fairfax County, VA?

Fairfax County, VA scores 23 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Fairfax County, VA's Alpha Score?

Fairfax County, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (60/100) and its weakest is Affordability (23/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Fairfax County, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.