52Alpha

Caldwell County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Balanced

What is Caldwell County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●7
Inventory Health25%
●96

Population band 4 of 5 (population 39,232–102,612) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●31
Economic Strength20%
●59
Rental Yield15%
●55

Where is Caldwell County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Caldwell County, TX is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Caldwell County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Caldwell County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$258K▼ -9.3%Redfin
Median Days on Market89 days▼ -4.3%Redfin
Months of Supply9.1▲ +75%Redfin
Homes for Sale317▲ +23.8%Redfin
Homes Sold35▼ -28.6%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$149▼ -9.7%Redfin

How has Caldwell County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 52
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Caldwell County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Caldwell County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Caldwell County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 52 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Caldwell County, TX?

The median sale price in Caldwell County, TX is $258K, having fallen 9.3% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Caldwell County, TX?

Caldwell County, TX scores 31 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Caldwell County, TX's Alpha Score?

Caldwell County, TX's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (96/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (7/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Caldwell County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.