75Alpha

Karnes County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Seller's

What is Karnes County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum—No data
—
Inventory Health31%
●86

Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band

Affordability25%
●72
Economic Strength25%
●57
Rental Yield19%
●84

Where is Karnes County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Karnes County, TX is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Karnes County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Karnes County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$187K▲ +20.4%Redfin
Median Days on Market262 days▲ +54.1%Redfin
Months of Supply7.2▼ -30.1%Redfin
Homes for Sale30▼ -26.8%Redfin
Homes Sold40%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$126▲ +35.2%Redfin

How has Karnes County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 75
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Karnes County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Karnes County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Karnes County, TX is classified as a Seller's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 75 out of 100. It is based on the 4 of five dimensions we can measure for this market — building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield — whose weights are scaled up to cover the whole score. The rest are not measured here and are left out rather than filled in with a placeholder.

Are home prices rising or falling in Karnes County, TX?

The median sale price in Karnes County, TX is $187K, having risen 20.4% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Karnes County, TX?

Karnes County, TX scores 72 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Karnes County, TX's Alpha Score?

Karnes County, TX's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (86/100) and its weakest is Economic Strength (57/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of five dimensions; 4 of them have data for this market.

Want the live, interactive view of Karnes County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.