Fredericksburg, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · as of July 2026
What is Fredericksburg, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Where is Fredericksburg, VA in its market cycle?
Fredericksburg, VA is classified as Mature — holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Fredericksburg, VA?
Our model forecasts Fredericksburg, VA’s home prices to rise about 20.7% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).
This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.
Fredericksburg, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $455K | ▼ -13.3% |
| Median Days on Market | 34 days | ▲ +47.8% |
| Months of Supply | 2.3 | ▲ +21.1% |
| Homes for Sale | 71 | ▲ +9.2% |
| Homes Sold | 31 | ▼ -8.8% |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $247 | ▼ -1.7% |
How has Fredericksburg, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Fredericksburg, VA
Frequently asked questions
Is Fredericksburg, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
As of July 2026, Fredericksburg, VA is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Fredericksburg, VA?
The median sale price in Fredericksburg, VA is $455K, having fallen 13.3% over the past year.
How affordable is Fredericksburg, VA?
Fredericksburg, VA scores 24 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Fredericksburg, VA's Alpha Score?
Fredericksburg, VA's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (60/100) and its weakest is Affordability (24/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Fredericksburg, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.