Fredericksburg, VA Housing Market Brief
county · VA · score computed October 2026
What is Fredericksburg, VA’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 3 of 5 (population 20,431–39,126) · comparable within its band
Where is Fredericksburg, VA in its market cycle?
Fredericksburg, VA is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Fredericksburg, VA?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Fredericksburg, VA housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $499K | ▲ +2.3% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 66 days | ▲ +8.2% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 2.8 | ▼ -26.3% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 85 | ▼ -5.6% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 30 | ▲ +25% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $248 | ▼ -5.7% | Redfin |
How has Fredericksburg, VA’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Fredericksburg, VA
Frequently asked questions
Is Fredericksburg, VA a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Fredericksburg, VA is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 29 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Fredericksburg, VA?
The median sale price in Fredericksburg, VA is $499K, having risen 2.3% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Fredericksburg, VA?
Fredericksburg, VA scores 5 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Fredericksburg, VA's Alpha Score?
Fredericksburg, VA's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (51/100) and its weakest is Affordability (5/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Fredericksburg, VA? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.