27Alpha

Rains County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Buyer's

What is Rains County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●7
Inventory Health25%
●33

Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●24
Economic Strength20%
●39
Rental Yield15%
●33

Where is Rains County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Rains County, TX is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Rains County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Rains County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$498K▲ +29.5%Redfin
Median Days on Market61 days▼ -47%Redfin
Months of Supply14.3▲ +43%Redfin
Homes for Sale88▲ +10%Redfin
Homes Sold6▼ -25%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$215▲ +6%Redfin

How has Rains County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 27
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Rains County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Rains County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Rains County, TX is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 27 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Rains County, TX?

The median sale price in Rains County, TX is $498K, having risen 29.5% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Rains County, TX?

Rains County, TX scores 24 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Rains County, TX's Alpha Score?

Rains County, TX's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (39/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (7/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Rains County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.