Polk County, FL Housing Market Brief
county · FL · score computed October 2026
What is Polk County, FL’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 5 of 5 (population 103,008–9,808,667) · comparable within its band
Where is Polk County, FL in its market cycle?
Polk County, FL is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Polk County, FL?
County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Polk County, FL housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $309K | ▼ -4.4% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 71 days | ▲ +20.3% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 5.5 | ▲ +12.2% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 5,791 | ▲ +4.5% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 1,051 | ▼ -6.8% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $178 | ▼ -1% | Redfin |
How has Polk County, FL’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Polk County, FL
Frequently asked questions
Is Polk County, FL a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Polk County, FL is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 44 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.
Are home prices rising or falling in Polk County, FL?
The median sale price in Polk County, FL is $309K, having fallen 4.4% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Polk County, FL?
Polk County, FL scores 18 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.
What's driving Polk County, FL's Alpha Score?
Polk County, FL's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (83/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (10/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.
Want the live, interactive view of Polk County, FL? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.