41Alpha

Polk County, FL Housing Market Brief

county · FL · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Polk County, FL’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+5.840
Inventory Health25%
-8.443
Affordability20%
+2.533
Economic Strength20%
43
Rental Yield15%
+1.148

Where is Polk County, FL in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Polk County, FL is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Polk County, FL?

Our model forecasts Polk County, FL’s home prices to rise about 2.6% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Polk County, FL housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$316K▲ +1.1%
Median Days on Market63 days-1.6%
Months of Supply5.0▲ +2%
Homes for Sale5,597-4.2%
Homes Sold1,156-5.8%
Median Price / Sq Ft$178-1.5%

How has Polk County, FL’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 41
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Polk County, FL

Frequently asked questions

Is Polk County, FL a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Polk County, FL is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 41 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Polk County, FL?

The median sale price in Polk County, FL is $316K, having risen 1.1% over the past year.

How affordable is Polk County, FL?

Polk County, FL scores 33 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Polk County, FL's Alpha Score?

Polk County, FL's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (48/100) and its weakest is Affordability (33/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Polk County, FL? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.