41Alpha

Medina County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Medina County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
-5.234
Inventory Health25%
+4.546
Affordability20%
+14.238
Economic Strength20%
43
Rental Yield15%
+18.946

Where is Medina County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Medina County, TX is classified as Emerging early in its cycle, with scores climbing from a low base. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Medina County, TX?

Our model forecasts Medina County, TX’s home prices to decline about 4.0% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Medina County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$359K▲ +7.2%
Median Days on Market92 days▲ +13.6%
Months of Supply7.3-6.4%
Homes for Sale523-5.2%
Homes Sold74▲ +1.4%
Median Price / Sq Ft$172▲ +6.6%

How has Medina County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 41
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Medina County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Medina County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Medina County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 41 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Medina County, TX?

The median sale price in Medina County, TX is $359K, having risen 7.2% over the past year.

How affordable is Medina County, TX?

Medina County, TX scores 38 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Medina County, TX's Alpha Score?

Medina County, TX's strongest dimension is Inventory Health (46/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (34/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Medina County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.