36Alpha

Medina County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · as of July 2026

Buyer's

What is Medina County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
39
Inventory Health25%
41
Affordability20%
21
Economic Strength20%
39
Rental Yield15%
41

Where is Medina County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Medina County, TX is classified as Mature holding near a healthy peak. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Medina County, TX?

Our model forecasts Medina County, TX’s home prices to decline about 4.0% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Medina County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$410K▲ +14.7%
Median Days on Market130 days▲ +13%
Months of Supply6.1-12.9%
Homes for Sale516-6%
Homes Sold84▲ +7.7%
Median Price / Sq Ft$175-4.4%

How has Medina County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 36
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Medina County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Medina County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

As of July 2026, Medina County, TX is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 36 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Medina County, TX?

The median sale price in Medina County, TX is $410K, having risen 14.7% over the past year.

How affordable is Medina County, TX?

Medina County, TX scores 21 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Medina County, TX's Alpha Score?

Medina County, TX's strongest dimension is Rental Yield (41/100) and its weakest is Affordability (21/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Medina County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.