38Alpha

Clay County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Buyer's

What is Clay County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●3
Inventory Health25%
●16

Population band 2 of 5 (population 9,816–20,389) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●85
Economic Strength20%
●43
Rental Yield15%
●51

Where is Clay County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Clay County, TX is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Clay County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Clay County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$224K▲ +9%Redfin
Median Days on Market102 days▲ +18.6%Redfin
Months of Supply8.7▲ +148.6%Redfin
Homes for Sale45▼ -2.2%Redfin
Homes Sold5▼ -61.5%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$151▼ -7%Redfin

How has Clay County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 38
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Clay County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Clay County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Clay County, TX is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 38 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Clay County, TX?

The median sale price in Clay County, TX is $224K, having risen 9% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Clay County, TX?

Clay County, TX scores 85 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Clay County, TX's Alpha Score?

Clay County, TX's strongest dimension is Affordability (85/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (3/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Clay County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.