45Alpha

Ellis County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Ellis County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
-3.036
Inventory Health25%
-3.447
Affordability20%
-4.246
Economic Strength20%
56
Rental Yield15%
+1.737

Where is Ellis County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Ellis County, TX is classified as Declining cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Ellis County, TX?

Our model forecasts Ellis County, TX’s home prices to rise about 3.4% over the next 12 months (high confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Ellis County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$429K▲ +5.2%
Median Days on Market69 days▲ +15%
Months of Supply5.2▲ +4%
Homes for Sale1,446-7.2%
Homes Sold287-10.6%
Median Price / Sq Ft$183-1.1%

How has Ellis County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 45
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Ellis County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Ellis County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Ellis County, TX is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 45 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Ellis County, TX?

The median sale price in Ellis County, TX is $429K, having risen 5.2% over the past year.

How affordable is Ellis County, TX?

Ellis County, TX scores 46 out of 100 on affordability — moderately affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Ellis County, TX's Alpha Score?

Ellis County, TX's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (56/100) and its weakest is Price Momentum (36/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Ellis County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.