61Alpha

Shelby County, TX Housing Market Brief

county · TX · score computed October 2026

Seller's

What is Shelby County, TX’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●96
Inventory Health25%
●9

Population band 3 of 5 (population 20,431–39,126) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●88
Economic Strength20%
●38
Rental Yield15%
●94

Where is Shelby County, TX in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Shelby County, TX is classified as Growing — strengthening, with scores rising over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Shelby County, TX?

County-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.

Shelby County, TX housing market data

MetricValueYoYSource
Median Sale Price$113K▼ -45.8%Redfin
Median Days on Market88 days▼ -4.3%Redfin
Months of Supply14.1▲ +60.2%Redfin
Homes for Sale43▼ -18.9%Redfin
Homes Sold3▼ -50%Redfin
Median Price / Sq Ft$58▼ -46%Redfin

How has Shelby County, TX’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 61
2-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Shelby County, TX

Frequently asked questions

Is Shelby County, TX a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed October 2026, Shelby County, TX is classified as a Seller's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 61 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Shelby County, TX?

The median sale price in Shelby County, TX is $113K, having fallen 45.8% over the past year, according to Redfin.

How affordable is Shelby County, TX?

Shelby County, TX scores 88 out of 100 on affordability — relatively affordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other counties.

What's driving Shelby County, TX's Alpha Score?

Shelby County, TX's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (96/100) and its weakest is Inventory Health (9/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Shelby County, TX? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.