43Alpha

Fredericksburg, TX metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · TX · as of August 2026

Balanced

What is Fredericksburg, TX metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
+17.632
Inventory Health25%
+17.159
Affordability20%
+4.316
Economic Strength20%
74
Rental Yield15%
+9.827

Where is Fredericksburg, TX metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Fredericksburg, TX metro area is classified as Recovering turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Fredericksburg, TX metro area?

Our model forecasts Fredericksburg, TX metro area’s home prices to rise about 7.4% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Fredericksburg, TX metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$444K▲ +2.5%
Median Days on Market98 days▲ +5.4%
Months of Supply8.9▲ +11.3%
Homes for Sale281-6.6%
Homes Sold32-17.9%
Median Price / Sq Ft$258▲ +3%

How has Fredericksburg, TX metro area’s Alpha Score moved?

Now: 43
12-period trend
Median sale price · 12 mo

Markets like Fredericksburg, TX metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Fredericksburg, TX metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

As of August 2026, Fredericksburg, TX metro area is classified as a Balanced Market, based on its Alpha Score of 43 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, inventory, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Fredericksburg, TX metro area?

The median sale price in Fredericksburg, TX metro area is $444K, having risen 2.5% over the past year.

How affordable is Fredericksburg, TX metro area?

Fredericksburg, TX metro area scores 16 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Fredericksburg, TX metro area's Alpha Score?

Fredericksburg, TX metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (74/100) and its weakest is Affordability (16/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Fredericksburg, TX metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.