Fredericksburg, TX metro area Housing Market Brief
metro · TX · score computed October 2026
What is Fredericksburg, TX metro area’s Alpha Score?
The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.
Population band 1 of 5 (population 12,616–37,875) · comparable within its band
Where is Fredericksburg, TX metro area in its market cycle?
Fredericksburg, TX metro area is classified as Recovering — turning back up after a downturn. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.
What’s the forecast for Fredericksburg, TX metro area?
Metro-level forecasts are paused (since Oct 18, 2026). The new public-data model we built to replace them didn't pass our accuracy test, and we won't publish forecasts again until a model does.
Fredericksburg, TX metro area housing market data
| Metric | Value | YoY | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median Sale Price | $451K | ▼ -24.7% | Redfin |
| Median Days on Market | 125 days | ▲ +28.9% | Redfin |
| Months of Supply | 15.1 | ▲ +20.8% | Redfin |
| Homes for Sale | 295 | ▲ +2.4% | Redfin |
| Homes Sold | 20 | ▼ -13% | Redfin |
| Median Price / Sq Ft | $246 | ▼ -17.3% | Redfin |
How has Fredericksburg, TX metro area’s Alpha Score moved?
Markets like Fredericksburg, TX metro area
- Hood River, OR metro area, ORmetro35
- Prineville, OR metro area, ORmetro
- Astoria, OR metro area, ORmetro36
- The Dalles, OR metro area, ORmetro28
- Brookings, OR metro area, ORmetro32
- Sandpoint, ID metro area, IDmetro35
- Durango, CO metro area, COmetro36
- Juneau, AK metro area, AKmetro51
- Fallon, NV metro area, NVmetro41
- Easton, MD metro area, MDmetro50
Frequently asked questions
Is Fredericksburg, TX metro area a buyer's or seller's market?
In the scores computed October 2026, Fredericksburg, TX metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 35 out of 100. It is based on the 4 of five dimensions we can measure for this market — building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield — whose weights are scaled up to cover the whole score. The rest are not measured here and are left out rather than filled in with a placeholder.
Are home prices rising or falling in Fredericksburg, TX metro area?
The median sale price in Fredericksburg, TX metro area is $451K, having fallen 24.7% over the past year, according to Redfin.
How affordable is Fredericksburg, TX metro area?
Fredericksburg, TX metro area scores 7 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.
What's driving Fredericksburg, TX metro area's Alpha Score?
Fredericksburg, TX metro area's strongest dimension is Economic Strength (72/100) and its weakest is Affordability (7/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of five dimensions; 4 of them have data for this market.
Want the live, interactive view of Fredericksburg, TX metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.