40Alpha

Napa, CA metro area Housing Market Brief

metro · CA · score computed September 2026

Buyer's

What is Napa, CA metro area’s Alpha Score?

The Alpha Score is a composite 0–100 index of market strength, a weighted blend of five dimensions. See the methodology.

Price Momentum20%
●76
Inventory Health25%
●56

Population band 4 of 5 (population 112,714–277,881) · comparable within its band

Affordability20%
●2
Economic Strength20%
●49
Rental Yield15%
●3

Where is Napa, CA metro area in its market cycle?

EmergingGrowingMaturePeakingDecliningRecovering

Napa, CA metro area is classified as Declining — cooling, with scores declining over recent months. This is a classification of recent (1–12 month) momentum, not a price forecast.

What’s the forecast for Napa, CA metro area?

Our model forecasts Napa, CA metro area’s home prices to rise about 6.2% over the next 12 months (medium confidence).

This is a separate, forward-looking view — not the cycle classification above. See how past forecasts performed on the track record, or the full local forecast with its confidence range on the market page.

Napa, CA metro area housing market data

MetricValueYoY
Median Sale Price$857K▼ -6.8%
Median Days on Market81 days▼ -13.8%
Months of Supply6.3▼ -1.6%
Homes for Sale599▲ +0.5%
Homes Sold98▲ +2.1%
Median Price / Sq Ft$566▼ -8.7%

Markets like Napa, CA metro area

Frequently asked questions

Is Napa, CA metro area a buyer's or seller's market?

In the scores computed September 2026, Napa, CA metro area is classified as a Buyer's Market, based on its Alpha Score of 40 out of 100. The classification reflects current price, building, affordability, economic, and rental-yield conditions.

Are home prices rising or falling in Napa, CA metro area?

The median sale price in Napa, CA metro area is $857K, having fallen 6.8% over the past year.

How affordable is Napa, CA metro area?

Napa, CA metro area scores 2 out of 100 on affordability — relatively unaffordable relative to local incomes and prevailing mortgage rates compared with other metros.

What's driving Napa, CA metro area's Alpha Score?

Napa, CA metro area's strongest dimension is Price Momentum (76/100) and its weakest is Affordability (2/100). The Alpha Score is a weighted blend of all five dimensions.

Want the live, interactive view of Napa, CA metro area? Open the full market dashboard — charts, ZIP-level drill-down, and watchlist tracking. Explore the map or read the methodology.